Date: February 6, 1973

Time: 5:11 pm-6:10 pm

Location: Oval Office

The President met with Arthur F. Burns and George P. Shultz.

Greetings

Trade policy

-President’s meeting with Edward R. G. Heath

-Heath

-Negotiations with Europe

-Cooperation

-Agriculture products

-Monetary situation

-European attitudes

-Negative

-Heath’s role

-Shultz

-Role

-Change European attitudes

-Perfectionism

-Reaction to US position

-Sympathy

-Anthony P. L. Barber

-Support in Parliament

-Sir Douglas Allen

-International monetary situation

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Prime interest rates

-Discount rate

-Banks

-Testimony to Congress

-Questions on Phase III

Senate Banking Committee testimony

-Burns

-Attention

-Questions

-William McChesney Martin, Jr.

-Phase III

-Inflation

-Wilbur D. Mills

-Compared to previous testimony

-Burns’s statement

-Phase III

-Support

-Questions

-Responses

-Support in government

-Violations

– -Support from President

-John T. Dunlop’s swearing-in

-Interest rates

-Questions

-Burns’s statement

-Shultz’s testimony

-William Proxmire

-Committee seats

Stephen B. Bull entered at an unknown time after 5:11 pm.

Message to Ronald L. Ziegler

-Burns’s testimony

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Bull left at an unknown time before 6:11 pm.

Interest rates

-Rise

-Money supply

-End of fast growth

-Nervousness

-Martin

-Policies

-Burns’s goals

-Avoidance of recession

-Tightening money supply

-Impact

-Complaints

-Duration

-Start date

-Treasury Department [?]

-Money supply

-Growth

-Control

-Sustained prosperity

-Elections

Burns’s possible trip to Japan

-Foreign Exchange problem

-Shultz

-Plans

-Discussions

-Kakeui Tanaka

-Tadashi Sasaki [?]

-Central Bank

-Timing

-Henry A. Kissinger

-Meeting with Tanaka

-Timing

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Foreign Exchange crisis

-Outflow of dollars

-Germany

-Acceleration

-Administration’s actions

-Meetings of economic advisors

-Burns’s involvement

-Herbert Stein, Paul A. Volcker, Shultz, William P. Rogers,

William J. Casey, Peter M. Flanigan

-Agreement on problems

-“Speculative fury”

-Trade deficit

-Size

-Balance of payments

-Corrective measures

-Smithsonian agreement

-Effect

-Offsets

-Deterioration

-Great Britain’s exchange rate

-Solutions

-Devaluation

-Percentage

-Revaluation by Japan

-Percentage

-Europe

-Persuasion

-Efficacy of measures

-Compared to changing exchange rates

-Trade legislation

-President’s authority to negotiate

-Expansion of world trade

-Provisions

-Protection of businesses

-Balance of payments surcharge

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-Impact on Japan

-Trade package

-Consultation with Congress, Labor, Business

-Announcement

-Gold market

-Impact of moves by the administration

-Volcker

-US actions on price of gold

-Private market

-International agreements

-Private market position

-Publicity

-Increase in price

-Private sales of gold

-Republican platform

-Serbian community [?] in US

-Capital control program

-President’s promise

-Equilibrium

-Domestic programs

-Phase out

-Consistency of international monetary plans

-Deficits

-Surpluses

-Japan

-Crisis

-Recurrence

-Japan

-Agreement on revaluation

-Legislation

-Surcharge

-Appeal to Europe

-Timing

-Leaks

Congressional leaders

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-Leaders’ schedules

-Shultz’s statement

-President’s decision

-Negotiations with trade partners

-Trade legislation

-Exchange rate realignment

-Gold

Wage and price controls

-Burns’s view

-Phasing out

-Gold purchases by private citizens

-Imports

-Effect on balance of payments

International monetary situation

-Gold

-Central banks

-Powers

-Devaluation

-Percentage

-Japan

-Dollar value

-Exchange rate

-Floating dollar

-Smithsonian Agreement

-Trade

-Great Britain

-Exchange rates

-Changes

-“Economic belligerency”

-Devaluation

-Percentage

-Public perception

-Understanding

-US position in world markets

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-Trade package

-Protectionism

-Dangers

-Encouragement to foreign nations

-President’s speech at International Monetary Fund [IMF]

Inflation

-International trade

-US position

-Price stability in US

-Announcement

-Determination to curb

-Congress

-Large films, unions

-Changes in wages and prices

-Announcement

-Congress

-Laws on reporting wage and price changes

-Testimony

-Paperwork

-Business overdependence on government

International monetary situation

-Speech

-Criticism

-Repetition of plans

-Trade

-Authority to negotiate

-Imports

-Compared to surcharges

-Removal

-Rate change

-Agreements

-Recurrent crises

-Administration’s actions on balance of trade, payments

-Trade

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-Burns’s view

-Monetary reform

-Pace

-Crisis

-William D. Eberle

-Defense

-Summit talks

-Preparation

-Negotiations

-Japan, Italy, France, Germany, Great Britain, US

-Big Four

-Smithsonian Conference

-Meeting with Georges J. R. Pompidou

-Accomplishments

-US position

-Global security

Devaluation

-Percentage

-Japan

-Legislation on surcharge

-Safeguards on flooding

-Congressional relations

-Consulting

-Trade

-Handling

-Dealings with Japan

-Ambassadors

-Volcker

-Finance minister

-Tanaka

-Draft letter to Tanaka

-Great Britain, Germany

-Timing

-Delay

-Politics

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-France

-Great Britain

-Japan

-President’s statement

-California

-Kissinger

-Preparation

-Timing

-Monetary move

-Trade

-Recklessness

-Crisis

-Timing

-US advantages

-Trade

-George Meany

-Telephone call to Shultz

-Congressional relations

-Discussions

-Mills

-Meetings with President

-Tax problems

President’s schedule

-Meeting with Mills

-Shultz’s testimony

-Tax policy meeting

Bull entered at an unknown time after 5:11 pm.

-Tax policy meeting with Shultz, Ehrlichman

-Mills’s meeting

-Shultz

-Length

-Time

-Swearing-in ceremony for John T. Dunlop

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-Time

-Mills

-Length of meeting

-Ehrlichman

-National Security Council [NSC] reading material

-[Hussein, King of Jordan] Hussein ibn Talal

Bull left at an unknown time before 6:03 pm.

Burns

-Monetary problems

-Health

-Weight

-State dinner invitations

-Health

Burns left at 6:03 pm.

Railroad subsidy

-Union trustees

-Amount

-Administration’s support

-Interstate Commerce Commission [ICC]

-Legislation

-Federal railway administrator

-Impact on trustees

-Waste

-Union

-Bailout

-Threat of bankruptcy

-Judge’s decision on sale of property

-Operating at a loss

-ICC

-Strike

-Impact

-Resources

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-Railroad

-Debts

-ICC

-Deregulation legislation

President’s meeting with Mills

-Ehrlichman

-Trade

-Health legislation

-Taxes

-Hearings

-Administration’s tax plan

-Meeting with Shultz and Ehrlichman

-Russell B. Long

Shultz’s testimony

Shultz left at 6:10 pm.